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Wolves conjure up many emotions and stereotypes. The wolf has been used throughout history
in legends and tall tales that have shaped our concept of the wolf.
Science cannot dispute tales handed down through time, but
it can deal with the myths in current times. There are three main issues related to
wolves and wolf recovery that tend to generate the most controversy.
In each case,
people's opinions tend to be shaped as much by myth and hearsay
as by scientific and historical data. Wolves are one of the most
studied species in the animal kingdom, and so the scientific knowledge
of them is plentiful. In
this section of the Forum’s website, the distinction between
myth and truth about wolves and wolf behavior will be examined.
Relying on available facts, both scientific and historical,
we discuss how this knowledge may help us to predict what will happen
in Utah.
How
Dangerous are Wolves to Humans?
One of the most powerful myths about wolves is
that they commonly attack and eat people. A more recent "counter
myth" is that wolves pose no danger at all to humans. Neither
of these myths is correct. The idea that wolves hunt and kill humans
is quite old, and goes much farther back than the story of Little
Red Riding Hood. There are also numerous tales of wolves killing
people in pre-20th century
Europe. Despite these tales, a review of published studies on wolf
attacks clearly demonstrates that while wolves do sometimes attack
humans, such attacks are extremely rare. In fact, many of the recorded
attacks in Europe are now thought to be the work of hybrids between
wolves and domestic dogs. While it is always wise to treat wild
animals as potentially dangerous, there is little reason to fear
wolves in particular. As Linnell et al. (2002) put it: "When
the frequency of wolf attacks on people is compared to that from
other large carnivores or wildlife in general it is obvious that
wolves are among the least dangerous species for their size."
Following is a summary
of some recent studies of wolf attacks:
A recent European study
of historical and present-day records of wolf attacks (Linnell et
al. 2002) identified four factors that are associated with wolf
attacks on humans:
1) Rabies: Linnell et al. (2002) found that the vast majority of past
wolf attacks in Europe involved rabid wolves. As the incidence of
rabies has declined in Europe and North America, the frequency of
these attacks has dropped dramatically on these continents. However,
such attacks still occur in Asia and the Middle East.
2) Habituation. Habituated wolves are wolves that are “used”
to being around people, often because they are being fed by people.
Habituation is also blamed for most of the 18 recorded wolf “attacks”
(including very aggressive behavior) on humans (none of them fatal)
in North America since 1969 (McNay 2002). Similarly, Carnes and
Van Ballenberghe (2002) found that in the solid majority of documented
cases in 20th century North America where presumably
healthy wild wolves inflicted injuries (mostly minor) on humans,
habituation, likely as a result of feeding, was the common factor.
3) Provocation. This includes situations where someone is trying to kill
a trapped or cornered animal.
4) Highly modified
environments. The majority of “predatory” attacks (nearly
all of which have occurred in pre-20th century Europe,
or present day India) are associated with very artificial environments.
India (a country with >1 billion citizens), where a number of
fatal wolf attacks have been reported over recent decades, is often
cited as proof that wolves do attack and kill people. However, a
recent study found that such attacks occurred exclusively in highly
modified environments with high densities of both people and wolves
and low densities of wild game (Jhala 2000). He concluded that, given the substantial and constant degree
of contact between wolves and people in these areas, the likelihood
of an attack was still extremely low. Furthermore, a recent genetic
study suggests that that the Indian wolf (Canis lupus pallipes) is not a true “gray wolf,” but is in fact a
distinct subspecies that may be more closely related to the jackal
than to gray wolves (Aggarwal et al.
2003). This is extremely important, because the vast majority of
wolf attacks on humans in the 20th century, and nearly
all-fatal attacks, have been attributed to the Indian wolf.
A recent incident in
which a wolf attacked a kayaker in his campsite near Vancouver Island
is commonly cited as more proof that wolves are inherently aggressive
and dangerous. Importantly, this incident is believed to be the
first reported wolf attack in British Columbia’s history (British
Columbia has thousands of wolves). Furthermore, according to the
locals in the Tofino area, the attack was neither an unexpected
nor an unpredicted incident. The seven resident Vargas Island wolves
had lost their ‘wild’ nature and became habituated or
tamed by human actions and increasing presence in the area. Residents
on the island have observed visitors feeding hot dogs to the wolves
by hand. Since the attack on Vargas Island, the BC government has
raised the fine for feeding wildlife to $300 (see: http://www.graywolf.ca/home.html).
Unprovoked attacks
by non-rabid wolves on people, then, are extremely rare.
"The risks of being
attacked by a wolf are not zero," according to Linnell et al.
(2002) "But (they) are clearly so low they are virtually impossible
to quantify."
Putting the Risk
Into Perspective:
Forest Service e-mail reported 1992 figures on the
wildlife hazards afield. Topping the list of animal-caused human
deaths were auto collisions with deer, racking up 131 for the year
(to put things in perspective, sharks took only one human, bees
43, and rattlesnakes ten for that same year)
From 1989-94 there were 109 fatal dog attacks in the U.S
In the next year, you have a 1 in 2 million chance of being
killed by an animal.
Wolves'
Effect on Big Game Population
Another
myth commonly associated with wolf reintroduction is that
they always have a detrimental effect on big game populations.
The
reintroduction of 31 wolves in Yellowstone National Park (YNP)
in 1995-96 has provided the opportunity to study the wolf-prey
relationship in depth. However, any conclusions regarding
the effects of wolf predation on prey species in YNP need
to consider the varying environmental factors at work, including
regional climatic conditions, other carnivore species in the
region, and human harvest – all of which influence prey
population dynamics (Smith et al. 2002). With this in mind, it is worth noting
that Yellowstone is home to other predators such as grizzly
bears, coyotes, and cougars that compete for the main sources
of prey, such as elk, deer, moose, bighorn sheep, and beaver. Hunters also take hundreds of elk, deer, and bison as they
migrate out of the park boundaries in search of food each
year. The winter of 1996 was one of the severest
on record in YNP. All
these factors must be included when evaluating the effects
of wolves on big game populations in YNP.
The
primary prey of the Yellowstone wolves is elk.
The Park Service has determined that prior to the wolf
introduction, the winter mortality of most ungulates (ungulates
are large hoofed mammals like elk, deer, moose, bison, pronghorn
and bighorn sheep) in the park was due to malnutrition (www.npwrc.usgs.gov/resources/2002/severity/intro.htm). The ungulate population prior to wolf
reintroduction was at or near carrying capacity (Smith et
al 2002). The
Yellowstone elk herd was estimated at 17,290 in December 1994
(www.nps.gov/yell/nature/northernrange/appendixb.htm), the
season prior to wolf reintroduction. Yellowstone has not released population data since 1994,
but unofficial spring counts in 1997 place the herd around
10,000. The decline in elk numbers is not directly
related to wolf reintroduction. No population counts were conducted in 1995-1996 or 1996-1997
winters due to the severe winter conditions. Harsh weather conditions played a large
part in the decline of the elk (and other ungulates) population. Numbers for the northern Yellowstone
elk herd show an increase after the hard winter (11,736-14,538)
and have proven stable through 2000 (Smith et al. 2002). Studies conducted by the Yellowstone Center for Resources
demonstrate the type of kills wolves have been making on the
elk herd:
As
expected, elk are the primary prey for wolves in the park
year round, representing 92% of 1,582 wolf kills recorded
from 1995-2001. As elsewhere, wolf predation in winter
has been highly selective; calves represent about 43% of wolf-killed
elk, cows 36%, and bulls 21% (compared to the approximate
winter population proportion of 14% calves, 60% cows, and
23% bulls). The adult elk killed by wolves have
been very old, with a mean age of 14 years for wolf-killed
cow elk.
Douglas
Smith, director of the Yellowstone Wolf Project, goes on to
say:
Human
hunters outside the park kill female elk in their reproductive
prime, at an average age of 6 years.
Bull elk killed by wolves are taken primarily in winter
and average 5 years old, which is the same average age for
hunter-killed bull elk.
Research
conducted within the park boundaries (where hunting is not
allowed) of Yellowstone National Park looked closely at effects
the wolf may have on the big game populations.
Researchers concluded that, “over-winter calf
mortality, yearling mortality, and adult bull mortality all
increase with higher elk population densities. Studies show
that summer predation by grizzly bears, coyotes, black bears,
and golden eagles takes an average of 32% of the northern
range elk calves each year. Mountain lions prey upon elk,
as do hunters north of the park (taking about 10% of the northern
herd annually through the 1980s)” (Smith et al. 2002).
Clearly, no specific predator prey relationship can
be attributed to the presence of just one species
Gray
wolves, eliminated from the park by the 1930s, are being restored,
but not because park managers think the wolves will "control"
the number of elk. Instead, 15 North American wolf experts
predicted that 100 wolves in Yellowstone would reduce the
elk by less than 20%, 10 years after reintroduction. Computer
modeling of population dynamics on the northern winter range
predicts that 75 wolves would kill 1,000 elk per winter, but
that elk would be able to maintain their populations under
this level of predation, and with only a slight decrease in
hunter harvest (Boyce 1993).
Some
hunters have asserted that wolves are the number-one predator
of big game herds. This is not usually the case. In addition to studies conducted at
the to the Yellowstone research which demonstrate otherwise,
another relevant case to mention is the recovery of wolves
in Minnesota. There are now more than 3,000 wolves
in the state which prey primarily on deer. These wolves kill an estimated 40,000 deer each year in
Minnesota. By
comparison, all other predators kill 60,000 deer, cars cause
a mortality of 15,000 deer, and hunters kill more than 200,000
deer each year. Since 1973, when wolves were protected under the ESA, the
wolf population has climbed steadily in Minnesota. However,
so has the deer population, and hunter harvest as well, which
is now more than twice what it was in 1973 when wolf populations
began to increase. The numbers clearly show that it is
hunters that have become the number one predator of big game
herds.
A
serious discussion about the wolf predation on big game populations
means sifting through the hyperbole surrounding this issue.
In most of these
cases wolves have been the least of the threats to
these populations. The gravest threat to the vitality of big game populations
comes from humans. Habitat
degradation due to a variety of anthropogenic causes as well
as habitat loss due to development is the primary causes of
a decreased big game population.
The large ungulate hunts in Utah also do not help the
health of the herds. In contrast to wolves, hunters target
productive females and bulls in their kills. It could be argued that this non-natural
selection can contribute to a reduction in the big game populations
in the long-term, along with habitat loss and competition
with livestock for forage.
Depredation
on Livestock by Wolves
Much
like the myth of wolf predation on big game populations, the
issue of livestock losses needs to be examined more closely
to discover the multitude of pressures livestock face.
It cannot be denied that wolves have preyed on livestock
and will continue to do so. However, it is important to put the
numbers into perspective to fully understand the impact wolves
have on livestock populations.
Overall,
wolf predation on livestock in the U.S. has been remarkably
low, although there is no doubt that some ranchers are hit
harder than others. The current ratio of wolf kills to
known livestock deaths for the Northern Rockies 3-state recovery
area, (Idaho, Montana, Wyoming): is (Bangs 2002):
3 in 10,000 cattle deaths (<0.1% of all
cattle depredations)
134 in 10,000 sheep deaths (0.4% of all sheep depredations)
These
numbers do not justify the current rhetoric that wolves
“decimate livestock herds.”
Evidence shows that most livestock loss is the
result of weather conditions and illness, not predation. And besides, in the event that wolf depredation of livestock
can be confirmed, ranchers are eligible for compensation. The states, the federal government,
and Defenders of Wildlife all have programs to compensate
producers for the loss of livestock to wolves. In the case of the 3-state recovery area total compensation
payments from Defenders of Wildlife from 1987-2002 totaled
$272,000 dollars.
There
are wolf packs in North America surrounded by ranching
and grazing lands but, interestingly, wolves do not normally
molest or kill the livestock around them.
For example, wolves have lived on the Agassiz National
Wildlife Refuge in northwest Minnesota since the 1980's
and are entirely surrounded by farmland. The perceived
threat of these wolves to livestock prompted research
on their habits in the late 1990's.
In this study, 17 wolves were caught, radio collared
and studied for 17 months around the clock (Gese 2003).
The wolves were found to make forays from the reserve
throughout the year into the farmland. Moreover, the wolves
on their treks frequently passed several groups of livestock
without molesting them. The wolves fed on wild prey, mainly
moose, white-tailed deer and muskrats. Wolves in the area
did occasionally kill livestock, but on average only once
a year. Gese
(2003) concluded that the risk to livestock in Agassiz
and surrounds is minimal.
Ironically, before the study, it was thought best
to destroy wolves that left the Refuge to avoid wolf-livestock
friction. In light of the findings, however, the wolves
would best be left in place, for at least they keep out
other wolves who might be less “neighbourly”
to livestock.
It is important to look at
many locations and geography to best demonstrate the relationship
between wolves and livestock. A comprehensive look at states with established wolf populations
and livestock predation yields many conclusions.
| Table
1. |
Verified
wolf depredation in the USA*
|
|
States
|
Years
|
Wolves
|
Cattle
|
Sheep
|
Dogs
|
Fowl
|
| Arizona-New
Mexico |
1998 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
| Idaho
|
1995-2001 |
261 |
56 |
170 |
10 |
0 |
| Michigan
|
1991-1998 |
245 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
| Minnesota
|
1979-2001 |
2445 |
1200 |
879 |
173 |
1251 |
| Montana
|
1987-2001 |
84 |
91 |
68 |
10 |
0 |
| Wisconsin
|
1976-1998 |
250 |
45 |
11 |
27 |
142 |
| Wyoming
|
1995-2001 |
218 |
41 |
256 |
23 |
0 |
*source=www.wolftrust.org
| Table
1 gives a solid comparison of wolf numbers and depredation
of livestock. It clearly shows that the number of livestock
wolves kill in the US is very low. The numbers do not support
the assumption that the presence of wolves will inevitably lead
to massive livestock losses. This leads to the next question.
What is the statistical relationship between depredation and
all other causes of death? |
| Table
2. |
Numbers of cattle & sheep dying from all causes &
from predation*
|
|
|
Number
of Cattle
|
%
|
Number
of Sheep
|
%
|
| Minnesota: |
All
causes |
172,900 |
|
30,000 |
|
|
|
Predation |
2,100 |
1.2 |
3,200 |
10.7 |
| 8
States**: |
All
causes |
841,000 |
|
430,000 |
|
|
|
Predation |
16,600 |
2.0 |
193,300 |
45.0 |
*source=www.wolftrust.org
** same 8 states featured in Table 1
| Table
2
illustrates that the number of cattle killed by all species
of predator is just a tiny fraction of deaths from all causes
of mortality. Table 2 also illustrates that the proportion
of sheep killed by predators is much higher than the proportion
of cattle killed by predators. This is due in part to the
large number of sheep taken by coyotes and dogs. Coyotes and
dogs account for 82 percent of the sheep killed in Minnesota.
Coyotes account for 70 percent of the sheep killed in all
the states combined. |
So, what are the chief livestock killers, if not predators?
The three main causes of death for the livestock:
* disease - particularly digestive, respiratory and birth problems
* severe weather
* depredation of sheep by coyotes (NASS 1995, APHIS 1997).
Understanding the leading causes of livestock loss is an important
facet in the discussion of wolf depredation. Too often, the wolf
becomes the easiest target to identify as the culprit. As with big
game populations, livestock are vulnerable to many other predators.
The numbers reflect that the largest threat to livestock is disease
and severe weather. A thoughtful comparison of these facts clearly
demonstrates the insubstantial threat wolves pose to livestock.
In addition to compensation programs, the issue of wolves and livestock
has another component that sets it apart from the other myths. Unlike
the other situations, there are steps that can be taken to reduce
the number of livestock depredations. Over the years a variety of
techniques have been used to minimize livestock loses (Cluff and
Murray 1995). These techniques diverge in terms of effectiveness
and humaneness. Remember that a particular effort to decrease livestock
loses due to wolf depredation is not always applicable in every
situation, and therefore an effective method for avoiding depredation
will need to be an approach that integrates many different methods
(Fritts et al. 1992).
The methods that are most easy and most humane are:
* Altering livestock husbandry practices,
* Using livestock guarding dogs,
* Relocating livestock into other grazing lands,
* Relocating wolves into other areas or stocking grazing lands with
native ungulates,
* Aversive agents, such as the use of light and sound repellents
(Switalski et al. 2002).
Putting the Cost of Depredation Into Perspective: There
are direct and indirect costs of livestock depredation by wolves
that should be accounted for when considering the economic cost
of wolf recovery. According to the USDA, annual agricultural losses
due to white-tailed deer exceed $500 million PER YEAR nationwide.
Losses due to birds are over $100 million and losses of livestock
to coyotes cost $41 million per year. In the Southeast, it is estimated
that beavers cause $100 million in economic damages every year.
In Pennsylvania alone, it's estimated that white-tailed deer cause
$30 million in lost agricultural production each year. In addition,
the 750,000 annual auto collisions with deer cause an estimated
$1.2 BILLION dollars in damages, 200 deaths, and 9,000 injuries
nationwide. Deer cause an estimated $250 million in damages to homeowners
in large metropolitan areas alone, not to mention 12,000 to 14,000
cases of Lyme disease. And so on. The point is that many wildlife
species cause economic damage. Wolves alone cannot be blamed for
causing the most substantial costs.
References
Top
of Page
Aggarwal, R.K, J. Ramadevi, and L. Singh 2003.
Ancient origin and evolution of the Indian wolf: evidence
from mitochondrial DNA typing of wolves from Trans-Himalayan
region and Pennisular India. Genome Biology 4(6):6-
Boyce, M.S. 1993. Predicting the consequences
of wol recovery to ungulates in Yellowstone National Park.
Pages 234-269 in Cooks R.S., ed. Ecological Issues on Reintroducing
Wolves into Yellowstone National Park. Denver, CO: National
Park Service.
Carnes, J.C. and V. Van Ballenberghe 2002.
Human Injuries Caused by Presumably Healthy Wild Wolves in
Twentieth Century North America. Presented at the 2002 North
American Interagency Wolf Conference. April 22-24, 2002. Boise,
ID.
Cluff, H.D., and D.L. Murray. 1995. Review
of wolf control methods in North America. Pp. 491-504, In:
L.M. Carbyn, S.H. Fritts, and D.R. Seip, eds,. Ecology and
Conservation of Wolves in a Changing World. Proceedings of
the Second North American Symposium on Wolves (Edmonton, Alberta,
Canada, August 25-27). Canadian Circumpolar Institute, University
of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta.
Fritts, S.H., W.J. Paul, L.D. Mech, and D.P.
Scott. 1992. Trends and management of wolf-livestock conflicts
in Minnesota. U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife
Service Resource Publication No. 181. 27.pp.
Gese, E. M., and F.F. Knowlton. 2001. The
role of predation in wildlife population dynamics. Pp. 7-26,
In: T. F. Ginnett and S. E. Henke, eds., The Role of Predator
Control as a Tool in Game Management: Proceedings of
a Symposium. Extension Publication SP-113. Texas Agricultural
Research and Extension Center, San Angelo, TX.
Jhala, Y. 2000. Human-wolf conflict in India.
Presented at Beyond 2000: Realities of Global Wolf Restoration,
23-26 February 2000, Duluth, Minnesota.
Linnell, John D.C., et al.2002. The fear of
wolves: a review of wolf attacks on humans. Norsk institutt
for naturforskning, Trondheim, Norway. 65 pages.
McNay, M.E. 2002. A case history of wolf-human
encounters in Alaska and Canada. Alaska Department of Fish
and Game Technical Bulletin 13. Alaska Department of Fish
and Game, Juneau, Alaska. 52 pages.
Smith, D.W., Drummer, T.D., Murphy, K.M.,
Guernsey D.S., Evans, S.B. June 2002. Winter Prey Selection
and Estimation of Wolf Kill Rates in Yellowstone National
Park, 1995-2000. Journal of Wildlife Management.
Smith, D.W., Peterson R.O., Houston, D.B.,
2002. Yellowstone After Wolves; Will gray wolves, newly
established in Yellowstone, re-structure this complex ecosystem,
as they did to the much simpler Isle Royale? Yellowstone
Center for Resources, Yellowstone National Park.
Switalski, T.A., Simmons, T., Duncan, S.L.,
Chavez, A.S., and R.H. Schmidt. 2002. Wolves in Utah: An analysis
of potential impacts and recommendations for management. Natural
Resources and Environmental Issues. Vol. 10. 54 pages.
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