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Wolves conjure up many emotions and stereotypes.  The wolf has been used throughout history in legends and tall tales that have shaped our concept of the wolf.  Science cannot dispute tales handed down through time, but it can deal with the myths in current times.  There are three main issues related to wolves and wolf recovery that tend to generate the most controversy.

These are:
1) dangers of wolves to humans;
2) the effect of wolves on big game populations; and
3) depredation on livestock by wolves
 

In each case, people's opinions tend to be shaped as much by myth and hearsay as by scientific and historical data. Wolves are one of the most studied species in the animal kingdom, and so the scientific knowledge of them is plentiful.  In this section of the Forum’s website, the distinction between myth and truth about wolves and wolf behavior will be examined.  Relying on available facts, both scientific and historical, we discuss how this knowledge may help us to predict what will happen in Utah.

 

How Dangerous are Wolves to Humans?

Top of Page Human Danger Effects on Big Game Livestock Depredation References

One of the most powerful myths about wolves is that they commonly attack and eat people. A more recent "counter myth" is that wolves pose no danger at all to humans. Neither of these myths is correct. The idea that wolves hunt and kill humans is quite old, and goes much farther back than the story of Little Red Riding Hood. There are also numerous tales of wolves killing people in pre-20th century Europe. Despite these tales, a review of published studies on wolf attacks clearly demonstrates that while wolves do sometimes attack humans, such attacks are extremely rare. In fact, many of the recorded attacks in Europe are now thought to be the work of hybrids between wolves and domestic dogs. While it is always wise to treat wild animals as potentially dangerous, there is little reason to fear wolves in particular. As Linnell et al. (2002) put it: "When the frequency of wolf attacks on people is compared to that from other large carnivores or wildlife in general it is obvious that wolves are among the least dangerous species for their size."

Following is a summary of some recent studies of wolf attacks:

A recent European study of historical and present-day records of wolf attacks (Linnell et al. 2002) identified four factors that are associated with wolf attacks on humans:

1) Rabies: Linnell et al. (2002) found that the vast majority of past wolf attacks in Europe involved rabid wolves. As the incidence of rabies has declined in Europe and North America, the frequency of these attacks has dropped dramatically on these continents. However, such attacks still occur in Asia and the Middle East.

2) Habituation. Habituated wolves are wolves that are “used” to being around people, often because they are being fed by people. Habituation is also blamed for most of the 18 recorded wolf “attacks” (including very aggressive behavior) on humans (none of them fatal) in North America since 1969 (McNay 2002). Similarly, Carnes and Van Ballenberghe (2002) found that in the solid majority of documented cases in 20th century North America where presumably healthy wild wolves inflicted injuries (mostly minor) on humans, habituation, likely as a result of feeding, was the common factor.

3) Provocation. This includes situations where someone is trying to kill a trapped or cornered animal.

4) Highly modified environments. The majority of “predatory” attacks (nearly all of which have occurred in pre-20th century Europe, or present day India) are associated with very artificial environments. India (a country with >1 billion citizens), where a number of fatal wolf attacks have been reported over recent decades, is often cited as proof that wolves do attack and kill people. However, a recent study found that such attacks occurred exclusively in highly modified environments with high densities of both people and wolves and low densities of wild game (Jhala 2000).  He concluded that, given the substantial and constant degree of contact between wolves and people in these areas, the likelihood of an attack was still extremely low. Furthermore, a recent genetic study suggests that that the Indian wolf (Canis lupus pallipes) is not a true “gray wolf,” but is in fact a distinct subspecies that may be more closely related to the jackal than to gray wolves (Aggarwal et al. 2003). This is extremely important, because the vast majority of wolf attacks on humans in the 20th century, and nearly all-fatal attacks, have been attributed to the Indian wolf.

A recent incident in which a wolf attacked a kayaker in his campsite near Vancouver Island is commonly cited as more proof that wolves are inherently aggressive and dangerous. Importantly, this incident is believed to be the first reported wolf attack in British Columbia’s history (British Columbia has thousands of wolves). Furthermore, according to the locals in the Tofino area, the attack was neither an unexpected nor an unpredicted incident. The seven resident Vargas Island wolves had lost their ‘wild’ nature and became habituated or tamed by human actions and increasing presence in the area. Residents on the island have observed visitors feeding hot dogs to the wolves by hand. Since the attack on Vargas Island, the BC government has raised the fine for feeding wildlife to $300 (see: http://www.graywolf.ca/home.html).

Unprovoked attacks by non-rabid wolves on people, then, are extremely rare.

"The risks of being attacked by a wolf are not zero," according to Linnell et al. (2002) "But (they) are clearly so low they are virtually impossible to quantify."

Putting the Risk Into Perspective:

Forest Service e-mail reported 1992 figures on the wildlife hazards afield. Topping the list of animal-caused human deaths were auto collisions with deer, racking up 131 for the year (to put things in perspective, sharks took only one human, bees 43, and rattlesnakes ten for that same year)

From 1989-94 there were 109 fatal dog attacks in the U.S

In the next year, you have a 1 in 2 million chance of being killed by an animal.

         

         

         

        Wolves' Effect on Big Game Population

        Top of Page Human Danger Effects on Big Game Livestock Depredation References


        Another myth commonly associated with wolf reintroduction is that they always have a detrimental effect on big game populations. 

        The reintroduction of 31 wolves in Yellowstone National Park (YNP) in 1995-96 has provided the opportunity to study the wolf-prey relationship in depth.  However, any conclusions regarding the effects of wolf predation on prey species in YNP need to consider the varying environmental factors at work, including regional climatic conditions, other carnivore species in the region, and human harvest – all of which influence prey population dynamics (Smith et al. 2002).  With this in mind, it is worth noting that Yellowstone is home to other predators such as grizzly bears, coyotes, and cougars that compete for the main sources of prey, such as elk, deer, moose, bighorn sheep, and beaver.  Hunters also take hundreds of elk, deer, and bison as they migrate out of the park boundaries in search of food each year.  The winter of 1996 was one of the severest on record in YNP.  All these factors must be included when evaluating the effects of wolves on big game populations in YNP.

        The primary prey of the Yellowstone wolves is elk.  The Park Service has determined that prior to the wolf introduction, the winter mortality of most ungulates (ungulates are large hoofed mammals like elk, deer, moose, bison, pronghorn and bighorn sheep) in the park was due to malnutrition (www.npwrc.usgs.gov/resources/2002/severity/intro.htm).  The ungulate population prior to wolf reintroduction was at or near carrying capacity (Smith et al 2002).  The Yellowstone elk herd was estimated at 17,290 in December 1994 (www.nps.gov/yell/nature/northernrange/appendixb.htm), the season prior to wolf reintroduction.  Yellowstone has not released population data since 1994, but unofficial spring counts in 1997 place the herd around 10,000.  The decline in elk numbers is not directly related to wolf reintroduction.  No population counts were conducted in 1995-1996 or 1996-1997 winters due to the severe winter conditions.  Harsh weather conditions played a large part in the decline of the elk (and other ungulates) population.  Numbers for the northern Yellowstone elk herd show an increase after the hard winter (11,736-14,538) and have proven stable through 2000 (Smith et al. 2002).  Studies conducted by the Yellowstone Center for Resources demonstrate the type of kills wolves have been making on the elk herd:

        As expected, elk are the primary prey for wolves in the park year round, representing 92% of 1,582 wolf kills recorded from 1995-2001.  As elsewhere, wolf predation in winter has been highly selective; calves represent about 43% of wolf-killed elk, cows 36%, and bulls 21% (compared to the approximate winter population proportion of 14% calves, 60% cows, and 23% bulls).  The adult elk killed by wolves have been very old, with a mean age of 14 years for wolf-killed cow elk.

        Douglas Smith, director of the Yellowstone Wolf Project, goes on to say:

        Human hunters outside the park kill female elk in their reproductive prime, at an average age of 6 years.  Bull elk killed by wolves are taken primarily in winter and average 5 years old, which is the same average age for hunter-killed bull elk.

        Research conducted within the park boundaries (where hunting is not allowed) of Yellowstone National Park looked closely at effects the wolf may have on the big game populations.  Researchers concluded that, “over-winter calf mortality, yearling mortality, and adult bull mortality all increase with higher elk population densities. Studies show that summer predation by grizzly bears, coyotes, black bears, and golden eagles takes an average of 32% of the northern range elk calves each year. Mountain lions prey upon elk, as do hunters north of the park (taking about 10% of the northern herd annually through the 1980s)” (Smith et al. 2002).  Clearly, no specific predator prey relationship can be attributed to the presence of just one species

        Gray wolves, eliminated from the park by the 1930s, are being restored, but not because park managers think the wolves will "control" the number of elk. Instead, 15 North American wolf experts predicted that 100 wolves in Yellowstone would reduce the elk by less than 20%, 10 years after reintroduction. Computer modeling of population dynamics on the northern winter range predicts that 75 wolves would kill 1,000 elk per winter, but that elk would be able to maintain their populations under this level of predation, and with only a slight decrease in hunter harvest (Boyce 1993). 

        Some hunters have asserted that wolves are the number-one predator of big game herds.  This is not usually the case.  In addition to studies conducted at the to the Yellowstone research which demonstrate otherwise, another relevant case to mention is the recovery of wolves in Minnesota.  There are now more than 3,000 wolves in the state which prey primarily on deer.  These wolves kill an estimated 40,000 deer each year in Minnesota.  By comparison, all other predators kill 60,000 deer, cars cause a mortality of 15,000 deer, and hunters kill more than 200,000 deer each year.  Since 1973, when wolves were protected under the ESA, the wolf population has climbed steadily in Minnesota. However, so has the deer population, and hunter harvest as well, which is now more than twice what it was in 1973 when wolf populations began to increase.  The numbers clearly show that it is hunters that have become the number one predator of big game herds.

        A serious discussion about the wolf predation on big game populations means sifting through the hyperbole surrounding this issue.  In most of these  cases wolves have been the least of the threats to these populations.  The gravest threat to the vitality of big game populations comes from humans.  Habitat degradation due to a variety of anthropogenic causes as well as habitat loss due to development is the primary causes of a decreased big game population.  The large ungulate hunts in Utah also do not help the health of the herds.  In contrast to wolves, hunters target productive females and bulls in their kills.  It could be argued that this non-natural selection can contribute to a reduction in the big game populations in the long-term, along with habitat loss and competition with livestock for forage.

         

        Depredation on Livestock by Wolves

        Top of Page Human Danger Effects on Big Game Livestock Depredation References

        Much like the myth of wolf predation on big game populations, the issue of livestock losses needs to be examined more closely to discover the multitude of pressures livestock face.  It cannot be denied that wolves have preyed on livestock and will continue to do so.  However, it is important to put the numbers into perspective to fully understand the impact wolves have on livestock populations. 

        Overall, wolf predation on livestock in the U.S. has been remarkably low, although there is no doubt that some ranchers are hit harder than others.  The current ratio of wolf kills to known livestock deaths for the Northern Rockies 3-state recovery area, (Idaho, Montana, Wyoming): is (Bangs 2002):                     

        3 in 10,000 cattle deaths (<0.1% of all cattle depredations)

        134 in 10,000 sheep deaths (0.4% of all sheep depredations)

            These numbers do not justify the current rhetoric that wolves “decimate livestock herds.”  Evidence shows that most livestock loss is the result of weather conditions and illness, not predation.  And besides, in the event that wolf depredation of livestock can be confirmed, ranchers are eligible for compensation.  The states, the federal government, and Defenders of Wildlife all have programs to compensate producers for the loss of livestock to wolves.  In the case of the 3-state recovery area total compensation payments from Defenders of Wildlife from 1987-2002 totaled $272,000 dollars.

            There are wolf packs in North America surrounded by ranching and grazing lands but, interestingly, wolves do not normally molest or kill the livestock around them.  For example, wolves have lived on the Agassiz National Wildlife Refuge in northwest Minnesota since the 1980's and are entirely surrounded by farmland. The perceived threat of these wolves to livestock prompted research on their habits in the late 1990's.  In this study, 17 wolves were caught, radio collared and studied for 17 months around the clock (Gese 2003). The wolves were found to make forays from the reserve throughout the year into the farmland. Moreover, the wolves on their treks frequently passed several groups of livestock without molesting them. The wolves fed on wild prey, mainly moose, white-tailed deer and muskrats. Wolves in the area did occasionally kill livestock, but on average only once a year.  Gese (2003) concluded that the risk to livestock in Agassiz and surrounds is minimal.  Ironically, before the study, it was thought best to destroy wolves that left the Refuge to avoid wolf-livestock friction. In light of the findings, however, the wolves would best be left in place, for at least they keep out other wolves who might be less “neighbourly” to livestock.

            It is important to look at many locations and geography to best demonstrate the relationship between wolves and livestock.  A comprehensive look at states with established wolf populations and livestock predation yields many conclusions.

Table 1.
Verified wolf depredation in the USA*
States
Years
Wolves
Cattle
Sheep
Dogs
Fowl
Arizona-New Mexico 1998 22 0 0 1 0
Idaho 1995-2001 261 56 170 10 0
Michigan 1991-1998 245 4 0 1 0
Minnesota 1979-2001 2445 1200 879 173 1251
Montana 1987-2001 84 91 68 10 0
Wisconsin 1976-1998 250 45 11 27 142
Wyoming 1995-2001 218 41 256 23 0
*source=www.wolftrust.org
Table 1 gives a solid comparison of wolf numbers and depredation of livestock. It clearly shows that the number of livestock wolves kill in the US is very low. The numbers do not support the assumption that the presence of wolves will inevitably lead to massive livestock losses. This leads to the next question. What is the statistical relationship between depredation and all other causes of death?

Table 2.
Numbers of cattle & sheep dying from all causes & from predation*
Number of Cattle
%
Number of Sheep
%
Minnesota: All causes 172,900   30,000  
Predation 2,100 1.2 3,200 10.7
8 States**: All causes 841,000   430,000  
Predation 16,600 2.0 193,300 45.0
*source=www.wolftrust.org
** same 8 states featured in Table 1
Table 2 illustrates that the number of cattle killed by all species of predator is just a tiny fraction of deaths from all causes of mortality. Table 2 also illustrates that the proportion of sheep killed by predators is much higher than the proportion of cattle killed by predators. This is due in part to the large number of sheep taken by coyotes and dogs. Coyotes and dogs account for 82 percent of the sheep killed in Minnesota. Coyotes account for 70 percent of the sheep killed in all the states combined.

So, what are the chief livestock killers, if not predators?

The three main causes of death for the livestock:

* disease - particularly digestive, respiratory and birth problems
* severe weather
* depredation of sheep by coyotes (NASS 1995, APHIS 1997).

Understanding the leading causes of livestock loss is an important facet in the discussion of wolf depredation. Too often, the wolf becomes the easiest target to identify as the culprit. As with big game populations, livestock are vulnerable to many other predators. The numbers reflect that the largest threat to livestock is disease and severe weather. A thoughtful comparison of these facts clearly demonstrates the insubstantial threat wolves pose to livestock.

In addition to compensation programs, the issue of wolves and livestock has another component that sets it apart from the other myths. Unlike the other situations, there are steps that can be taken to reduce the number of livestock depredations. Over the years a variety of techniques have been used to minimize livestock loses (Cluff and Murray 1995). These techniques diverge in terms of effectiveness and humaneness. Remember that a particular effort to decrease livestock loses due to wolf depredation is not always applicable in every situation, and therefore an effective method for avoiding depredation will need to be an approach that integrates many different methods (Fritts et al. 1992).

The methods that are most easy and most humane are:

* Altering livestock husbandry practices,
* Using livestock guarding dogs,
* Relocating livestock into other grazing lands,
* Relocating wolves into other areas or stocking grazing lands with native ungulates,
* Aversive agents, such as the use of light and sound repellents (Switalski et al. 2002).

Putting the Cost of Depredation Into Perspective: There are direct and indirect costs of livestock depredation by wolves that should be accounted for when considering the economic cost of wolf recovery. According to the USDA, annual agricultural losses due to white-tailed deer exceed $500 million PER YEAR nationwide. Losses due to birds are over $100 million and losses of livestock to coyotes cost $41 million per year. In the Southeast, it is estimated that beavers cause $100 million in economic damages every year. In Pennsylvania alone, it's estimated that white-tailed deer cause $30 million in lost agricultural production each year. In addition, the 750,000 annual auto collisions with deer cause an estimated $1.2 BILLION dollars in damages, 200 deaths, and 9,000 injuries nationwide. Deer cause an estimated $250 million in damages to homeowners in large metropolitan areas alone, not to mention 12,000 to 14,000 cases of Lyme disease. And so on. The point is that many wildlife species cause economic damage. Wolves alone cannot be blamed for causing the most substantial costs.

 

References
Top of Page

Aggarwal, R.K, J. Ramadevi, and L. Singh 2003. Ancient origin and evolution of the Indian wolf: evidence from mitochondrial DNA typing of wolves from Trans-Himalayan region and Pennisular India. Genome Biology 4(6):6-

Boyce, M.S. 1993. Predicting the consequences of wol recovery to ungulates in Yellowstone National Park. Pages 234-269 in Cooks R.S., ed. Ecological Issues on Reintroducing Wolves into Yellowstone National Park. Denver, CO: National Park Service.

Carnes, J.C. and V. Van Ballenberghe 2002. Human Injuries Caused by Presumably Healthy Wild Wolves in Twentieth Century North America. Presented at the 2002 North American Interagency Wolf Conference. April 22-24, 2002. Boise, ID.

Cluff, H.D., and D.L. Murray. 1995. Review of wolf control methods in North America. Pp. 491-504, In: L.M. Carbyn, S.H. Fritts, and D.R. Seip, eds,. Ecology and Conservation of Wolves in a Changing World. Proceedings of the Second North American Symposium on Wolves (Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, August 25-27). Canadian Circumpolar Institute, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta.

Fritts, S.H., W.J. Paul, L.D. Mech, and D.P. Scott. 1992. Trends and management of wolf-livestock conflicts in Minnesota. U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service Resource Publication No. 181. 27.pp.

Gese, E. M., and F.F. Knowlton. 2001. The role of predation in wildlife population dynamics. Pp. 7-26, In: T. F. Ginnett and S. E. Henke, eds., The Role of Predator Control as a Tool in Game Management: Proceedings of a Symposium. Extension Publication SP-113. Texas Agricultural Research and Extension Center, San Angelo, TX.

Jhala, Y. 2000. Human-wolf conflict in India. Presented at Beyond 2000: Realities of Global Wolf Restoration, 23-26 February 2000, Duluth, Minnesota.

Linnell, John D.C., et al.2002. The fear of wolves: a review of wolf attacks on humans. Norsk institutt for naturforskning, Trondheim, Norway. 65 pages.

McNay, M.E. 2002. A case history of wolf-human encounters in Alaska and Canada. Alaska Department of Fish and Game Technical Bulletin 13. Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Juneau, Alaska. 52 pages.

Smith, D.W., Drummer, T.D., Murphy, K.M., Guernsey D.S., Evans, S.B. June 2002. Winter Prey Selection and Estimation of Wolf Kill Rates in Yellowstone National Park, 1995-2000. Journal of Wildlife Management.

Smith, D.W., Peterson R.O., Houston, D.B., 2002. Yellowstone After Wolves; Will gray wolves, newly established in Yellowstone, re-structure this complex ecosystem, as they did to the much simpler Isle Royale? Yellowstone Center for Resources, Yellowstone National Park.

Switalski, T.A., Simmons, T., Duncan, S.L., Chavez, A.S., and R.H. Schmidt. 2002. Wolves in Utah: An analysis of potential impacts and recommendations for management. Natural Resources and Environmental Issues. Vol. 10. 54 pages.

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